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How 2pts on a SUP/RES levels makes a huge difference

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The original level was 11444. It’s a PA level and Fut close, but 20pts above I have a very strong level – cash market weekly 200 MA

But in fact, RES 1 was not well positioned because it was too close to a strong, strong level – but even in those conditions, a more careful look at PA and an adjustment of the level in response to that would have kept me out of trouble.

RES 1 is the futures gap close but the market doesn’t atke much notice of it and goes another 10pts – to the fib level – before pulling back
Looking to the left of the chart, REs 1 is a better fit at ther fib as there appears to be more order flow there.
Using the fib level, the H-C-B sets up perfectly, but as long as I use the basic PA principle – which is to take a break of a triangle that forms around the KL – I can still make a good trade here.

On reflection, this post seems to be an exercise in curve-fitting and confirmation bias, a better approach to this PA goes something like this:

THOUGHT PROCESS: “OK we have levels 10pts apart and Fut close fill is often a good trade, so I need to be on my toes and keep my focus on the highest probability level which is the weekly 200 MA – this means do not take anything other than very clear, very definite setups at the levels below.”

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How 2pts on a SUP/RES levels makes a huge difference
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