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What PA told me the market had switched from ranging to trending?

1 min read

Obviously the defining features are that ranging PA is not directional while trending PA is directional, but while I am inside the PA itself, this is not always obvious until it’s too late, so it’s important to know what to look for so that I use the correct setups.

Price is ranging until it breaks RES 1 so decisively and the shallow PBs at the next level tell that the trend has further to go

First of all, what does ranging PA look like?

  • price respects levels by reversing when it hits them
  • high highs and lows get sold and bought
  • moves outside the Bolli Bands revert to the mean
  • 169 running straight through the middle of the PA

And what does trending PA look like?

  • the market breaks levels and they stay broken
  • hugs 3Min Bolli the whole way up or down
  • the 169 is far away
  • often – but not always – makes a shallow retest of a broken level to form an igloo or J-Lo
  • there is a strong level to aim for e.g. a daily cash chart level or old, unfilled gap

In the chart above, the market is trending once it breaks RES 1 and then continues up the next KL/TL. If it powers through with shallow PBs only to KLs/TLs, then I know more upside is likely.

In trending PA, 3Min Bollis will fail which H-C-Bs, Imp-Corr structures and J-Los/Igloos work well.

Prices hugs the Bolli Band the whole way up

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What PA told me the market had switched from ranging to trending?
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